People be bettin real money on this shit, even though the biggest bid today was only worth about $40k... If it were hundreds of millions of dollars involved, I assume it would mean Obama would assuredly win the next election, but maybe Intrade is just more reflective of the internet culture and therefore has a younger bias of customers who are mainly rooting for Obama.
We should pick up a few thousand Ron Paul shares right now and try to create an internet buzz that there is a huge, unaccounted-for bloc of RP voters that do not participate in polls, and that millions of 18-21 year-olds are going to show up to vote for the first time for RP. Then we buy some more shares and try to inflate the price, selling all our shares right before election night.
Even if the RP share price rose only a few cents, you could triple or quadruple your investment.